BUFFALO BILLS @ TENNESSEE TITANS

The curtains close on Week 6 with an all AFC Monday Night Football clash in Nashville as the 4-1 Buffalo Bills take on the 3-2 Titans. Can the Bills win five straight before their Week 7 bye, or will Derrick Henry be able to run the Titans to a win? 

The Tennessee Titans easily beat the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 5 to bounce back from their upset defeat at the hands of the Jets in Week 4. Derrick Henry has been his usual unstoppable self through the last four games, going for over 100 yards on the ground in all four as well as scoring 7 TDs! Whilst I don’t expect him to keep up that streak of 100+ yard games, I wouldn’t be surprised to see him find the endzone again. A.J. Brown and Julio Jones are back to bolster the receiving options for Ryan Tannehill and look for whichever guy is being trailed by Levi Wallace to have some success. Wallace struggles with big-bodied receivers, and whilst both guys can give him a hard time, I’d be trying to find the matchups where I can get Julio Jones 1-on-1 with Levi Wallace if I were the Titans. Anthony Firsker should also have a small part to play in this offense, the TE has exactly 3 receptions in every game he’s played this year and also had 3 in last years win over the Bills. 

The Buffalo Bills walked into Arrowhead on SNF in Week 6 and kicked the Kansas City Chiefs up and down the field as they won easily 38-20. The Bills possess the #1 scoring offense, the #1 scoring defense and lead the NFL in turnover margin so far this season, and along with the Baltimore Ravens look the team to beat in the AFC. Buffalo has managed to balance out what was a lopsided pass offense in 2020, with both Zack Moss and Devin Singletary looking good in a committee approach, but this offense is still really about Josh Allen and the passing game. Allen again looks like a legit MVP candidate after posting 374 total yards and 4 TDs against the Chiefs. The emergence of Dawson Knox and the acquisition of Emmanuel Sanders have really helped take the burden off of Stefon Diggs shoulders and in turn, make this offense less one-dimensional. 

I have to take the Bills here. With the way they’re playing on both sides of the ball It’s going to take a huge performance from any team to stop them right now. Tennessee can keep it close and their offense should have some success considering the studs that are on it but ultimately, I see the Bills leaving Nashville with the win. 

For our best bet, we have a 9/1 shot that should go close. Anthony Firsker over 2.5 receptions has hit in all three games he’s played this year and also in the matchup between these two sides last year. Devin Singletary, although sharing backfield duties, has gone for 25 or more rushing yards in all 5 games this season which makes his U/O 24.5 rushing yards line an enticing over bet. Zack Moss rounds out this 4-fold with overs on both his rush attempts and receptions. Moss has had 2 or more receptions in 3 of 4 games this season and after picking up 55 yards through the air on 3 receptions last week it would be remiss of Buffalo to lessen his targets. Whilst in the running game the bruising runner has 11 or more carries in his last three games so his U/O 10.5 rushing attempts looks a good option, especially if the game plays out similarly to how most expect. 

Spread: Titans +6

Total Match Points line: U/O 53.5

Game Prediction: Bills 24-23 Titans

Best Bet: Anthony Firkser over 2.5 receptions, Devin Singletary over 24.5 rushing yards, Zack Moss over 1.5 receptions and over 10.5 rushing attempts @ 9/1 with Bet365 Bet Builder. [0.5]

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