The 2-8 Jaguars stay in Duval for Week 12, and they play host to the inconsistent 4-6 Falcons. Can Trevor Lawrence lead Jacksonville to their third win of the season, or will Matt Ryan keep Atlanta’s slim postseason hopes alive with a win on the road?
These teams are quite similar in terms of points scored, points allowed, takeaway differential and a whole host of other statistical metrics, but one area they differ is in the run game. Jacksonville are right around league average in terms of rushing yards gained and allowed this year, whilst Atlanta are bottom-3 at running the ball and not much better at stopping the run.
James Robinson, the second-year UDFA RB for the Jags has 7 TDs in his last 7 games, and up against a Falcons defense that has already allowed 11 TDs to the position this season, I like his chances of making it 8 in 8.
Spread: Falcons -2
Total: 45.5
Game Prediction: Falcons 24-21 Jaguars
Best Bet: James Robinson anytime TD @ 21/20 with Bet365. [1]