The 1-7 Giants are on a short week and travel to the 2-5 Washington team and yet neither of these two sides are out of the running to win the division. God the NFC East sucks.
Washington enjoyed a dominant win over the Cowboys before heading into their bye week and after their rest get to face a 1 win football team coming off a short week at home, the scheduling Gods looked after them alright! The big dogs on this Washington team are the boys up front, they get after the passer well and are 6th ranked in the NFL at Sacking the Quarterback with 22 on the season and now they face a Giants line which has failed miserably at protecting Daniel Jones who has been Sacked at least once in every game this season with 23 in total. This ability Washington have to get to the passer make life a lot easier for their secondary who are the best in the league at pass yards allowed averaging a measly 185.9 a game and also have 8 takeaways making this one of the most underrated units in all of football and with Daniel Jones and his 9 INT’s coming into this Washington I expect him to make that number double figures here.
The Giants are no slouches when it comes to getting after the passer and boast 20 Sacks themselves already this season and with Washington not being able to protect their QB’s I would expect the Giants to be able to get to Kyle Allen as they did in the first meeting between the two sides but they’ll need to do a better job in coverage than they have managed so far this year especially as Terry McLaurin is coming in hot after a 2 TD game against Dallas last time out and is easily Kyle Allen’s primary target with double figure targets and 7 receptions in each of Washington’s last two games.
I like Washington in this one but interestingly Daniel Jones is unbeaten in 3 games vs Washington and that gives me Trubisky v Detroit vibes (as in he might suck but there’s one team he just always beats) so I’m not going to make Washington my best bet as I do think it’ll be a close one as their first meeting was. I do think we have some value on a few lines though, Daniel Jones U/O passing yards total is 230.5 which is a number Washington have only given up twice this year whilst Daniel Jones has thrown for over 230 just three times this season and in their previous meeting this season he posted a meagre 112 yards through the air. The other line I like is Terry McLaurin’s reception total which the bookies have at U/O 5.5 and I think we have value there, McLaurin has gone over that number in 4 of 7 games this year and has back to back games with over 10 targets and 7 receptions which is the same number of receptions he’s had in both of his previous career games against the Giants, this number should be U/O 6.5 so we’ll happily take the bookies generosity here.
PREDICTION: WASHINGTON 21 – 20 GIANTS
BEST BET: Daniel Jones under 230.5 passing yards – 5/6 with SkyBet. 2 point bet.
NEXT BEST: Terry McLaurin over 5.5 receptions – 8/11 with SkyBet. 1 point bet.