LOS ANGELES CHARGERS @ MIAMI DOLPHINS

I can’t be the only one super excited to see Tua square off against Justin Herbert can I? The number five overall pick welcomes the number six overall pick to Miami hoping to keep his 100% NFL winning record as well as getting one over on the guy he was picked one pick higher than in the 2020 draft.

Tua took advantage of a soft Cardinal defense last week to throw for close to 250 yards and two touchdowns in a shootout win and will look to do the same here against a Charger Defense which has been on the wrong side of average for most of the season. Miami’s Defense has been under the radar but impressive all season and whilst they did give up a lot of points and yardage against Kyler Murray last week the front 7 made some plays and it’s back to back games the Dolphins have had playmakers on the defensive side of the ball which is something they’ll need again here as Justin Herbert has been slinging it all over the place and although he only has one win to show for it his ability to make plays deep down the field have kept the Chargers in every game including taking two Super Bowl hopeful teams into OT.

It seems all the luck is with the Dolphins right now whilst the Chargers are struggling to catch a break but with Herbert under centre the Chargers are seemingly never completely out of the game but I’ve got a feeling they’re going to fall short in a close one yet again this season and Tua maintains his 100% winning record for another week.

As for my best bet I like Keenan Allen to keep his good season going, he’s Herbert’s favourite target apart from the Saints game where he left early with an injury has recorded 7 or more receptions in every game since Herbert took the reigns in week 2 so we like him to have over 6.5 receptions here. I also think we’ve found some value in the ‘Anytime TD Market’ Jordan Howard has 4 TD’s in 5 games this year and with Miles Gaskin being placed on IR we expect him to lead this backfield in Redzone carries so to get him at 5/2 to score is a great price.

PREDICTION: DOLPHINS 30 – 27 CHARGERS    

BEST BET: Keenan Allen over 6.5 receptions – 5/6 with SkyBet. 2 point bet.    

NEXT BEST: Jordan Howard anytime TD – 5/2 with SkyBet. 1 point bet.  

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