The 7-3 Seahawks travel to the City of Brotherly Love to take on a 3 win Eagle side who may or may not be making a QB change.
Seattle have had almost a second bye week heading into this one after playing and beating the Cardinals on TNF in week 11 they now play on MNF in week 12 giving them more than 10 days between games which at this stage of the season will help guys get healthy and looks to have been long enough for them to finally get Chris Carson back on the field. The Seahawks recent mini slump may have had something to do with the unavailability of Chris Carson and his backup Carlos Hyde, the Seahawks struggled to run the ball forcing them to rely too much on the passing game and when a team becomes completely one dimensional they become a lot easier to handle. The Seattle defense is a case of two units, the pass defense is the leagues worse allowing over 340 YPG on the season and have really struggled whereas the run defense has been a strong unit and is easily their defensive strength. The trade to bring in Carlos Dunlap has really helped what was an uninspiring pass rush and has posted 3 sacks in 3 games for the Seahawks and he’ll be licking his lips at the prospect of going against a Philadelphia Eagles line that are the leagues worst at protecting the passer allowing Carson Wentz to be sacked 40 times already this season.
Philly are struggling, currently sitting 3rd in the weakest division in football and on a two game skid (somewhat surprisingly the Eagles haven’t lost more than two games in a row this season) and the play of Carson Wentz has been so bad it’s forced Eagles HC Doug Pederson to answer questions about rookie QB Jalen Hurts potentially taking over and whilst Pederson wasn’t prepared to hand over the offense to the former Alabama and Oklahoma passer he did confirm that we’d see more of Hurts on the field. The Eagles defense is an underrated unit and have had no issues getting to the QB this season posting 34 sacks which is good enough for 2nd in the NFL and that could be their best route to a win here as the Seahawks are one of the worst at protecting their passer allowing Russell Wilson to be sacked 33 times already.
Despite Seattle’s superior record this is a game that could be decided by which QB is kept the cleanest, both sides struggle to protect the passer and the Eagles defense could singlehandedly keep this game close but even though both of these sides are looking to win their division only one side has real Super Bowl aspirations added to the fact that the Seahawks are the better side is also the fact that Russell Wilson is 5-0 in contests against Philadelphia so I’m going to take the Hawks to get the win here.
As for my best bet there’s not much value jumping out to me but the U/O for Will Dissly’s receptions is 2.5 and that seems high. Dissly has played in every game for the Seahawks this season and as of yet has failed to catch more than 2 passes in a single game and in only 1 of his 10 games this season has he been targeted more than twice so although the price of 8/11 is short I feel as if this line should be 1.5 and not the 2.5 it currently is.
PREDICTION: SEAHAWKS 30 – 21 EAGLES
BEST BET: Will Dissly UNDER 2.5 receptions – 10/13 Bet 365. 1 point bet.