The .500 Patriots are back at the SoFi stadium, just a few days after destroying the Los Angeles Chargers 45-0 and will now face LA’s premier side and NFC West leading Rams who’re fresh off a ten point win in the desert over their divisional rival Cardinals.
New England took advantage of their superior coaching, special teams and defensive advantage to destroy the Chargers and kept the rookie phenom Justin Herbert more than in check as his side failed to score a point whilst he threw two interceptions against a Patriots defense who’s playing some great pass defense at the moment and are starting to again look like a Bill Belichick defense. The offense is maybe the most run game reliant in football as they rank third in the NFL in rushing yards per game whilst they’re all the way down in thirtieth in passing yards and Cam Newton now has back to back games with under 100 passing yards and against a Rams defense which ranks first overall in passing yards allowed I expect this to be another run heavy outing for the Patriots.
Although if the Patriots think they’re going to have it easy running on this Rams defense they’re mistaken as this defense is a talented unit across the board and as well as ranking first overall in passing yards allowed they’re also a top three run stuffing defense allowing under 95 yards. On the other side of the ball, Sean McVay has this Rams side playing the kind of football we know he likes to play, establishing the run, which has become a lot easier with the recent emergence of rookie Cam Akers and once the run game is forced to be respected by the defense it opens up the passing game for Jared Goff and because of this multifaceted approach on offense the Rams boast a top ten run and pass game based on yards per game. So for those keeping track, this is a team who has a defense who rank inside the top three against both the run and the pass and an offense who rank inside the top ten for both, this is one of the best teams in football that nobody is talking about whilst the Patriots are relying on coaching and coaching alone.
This is the time of the season that the Patriots typically come into their own, Belichick has seen enough film on everyone to know what they want to do on offense and what they struggle to stop on defense but I am not convinced the Patriots have the talent to completely take advantage and so whilst I believe the Patriots can and will play everyone close the remainder of the year I don’t know if they have the team to beat the top tier NFL sides so I’m going to take the Rams here. As for my best bet, I’m taking Jordan Fuller, the Rams rookie Safety to have under 4.5 Tackles & Assists, he’s has 4 or less in his last 6 games and against a run heavy Patriots side I’d expect to see the majority of T&A’s coming from the front 7.
PREDICTION: RAMS 24 – 17 PATRIOTS
BEST BET: Jordan Fuller UNDER 4.5 Tackles & Assists – EVENS with SkyBet. 1 point bet.