BUFFALO BILLS @ DENVER BRONCOS

The 10-3 Bills travel to Mile High knowing that a win here clinched their first division title since 1995. Can the 5-8 Broncos make them wait another week or can the Bills break the 25 year drought.

The Bills defeated the Pittsburgh Steelers on Sunday night, a performance which proved they’re one of the best teams in the NFL and potential Super Bowl winners. The Offense has been good all season and showed that again in the second half against the Steelers #1 ranked Defense as they all but put the game to bed in the 3rd quarter with two TD’s. Arguably more impressive is the emergence of the Defense, a unit which was one of the leagues best last season but struggled early on this year has turned the corner in recent weeks and have got themselves back into that form they showed last season. Josh Allen to Stefon Diggs has become legitimately one of the leagues best QB/WR duo’s with Diggs having three double digit reception games in his last 4 outings.

The Broncos have had a below average season blighted with injuries and are again struggling as an injury crisis has emerged in the secondary, leaving them with only three Cornerbacks available, something which i suspect to be an issue against this Bills passing attack. The Broncos Offense blows hot and cold depending on the play of QB Drew Lock. The second year passer had the best game of his young career last week, throwing for 280 yards and 4 TD’s, but this isn’t an every game occurrence and the bi-polar type performances and big arm have lead a few, including myself, to liken him to Josh Allen from last year.

This is definitely a trap game for the red hot Bills and there’s no doubt that it Drew Lock is in the same form tonight that he was in last week then this game will be much closer than many expect but with that said I’m still taking the Bills. They’ve waited 25 years to win the division and I’m sure they’re keen to not wait any longer than they have to.

As for my best bet I’m again going with Stefon Diggs. As we mentioned he’s formed a telepathic like understanding with Josh Allen and against a Broncos side who although play tough on defense are short handed in the secondary, I’m expecting a performance and with his U/O receiving yards number set at 85.5, a number he’s gone over in 5 of his last 6 games and in 9 of his 13 games this season. I also like the Bills to cover the spread which is set at -4.5 points, the line was -7 points a few days ago and with the line now under a TD I’m comfortable with it.

PREDICTION: BILLS 27 – 20 BRONCOS

BEST BET: Stefon Diggs OVER 85.5 receiving yards – 5/6 with SkyBet. 0.5 point bet.

NEXT BEST: BUFFALO BILLS -4.5 match points – 5/6 with SkyBet. 0.5 point bet.

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