DENVER BRONCOS @ JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS

A poor start to NFL life for Jags HC Urban Meyer. Whose Jacksonville side were beaten by the supposedly dysfunctional Houston Texans in Week 1. Denver looked pretty good in a routine win over the now 0-2 Giants to start their season and will be looking to move to 2-0 against a Jags side who looked like they could be in for another long season. 

Jacksonville laid an egg in Week 1. They were heavily favoured (not by us) by the majority to pick up a win against the Texans but were poor as fell to 0-1. Trevor Lawrence threw for over 330 yards and 3TDs, but he also threw 3 interceptions and will need to be supported by some semblance of a positive running game, as any rookie QB would. The Jags defense gave up 37 points to a Texans side who many thought wouldn’t win a game this season. It’s a poor unit that lacks playmakers but will have to find a way to improve if they’re not going to need to be in shoot-out’s every week. 

Teddy Bridgewater had a winning start as the Denver Broncos starting QB and looked more than serviceable with talented offensive weapons around him. The loss of Jerry Jeudy with a high ankle sprain will hurt this offense, but it also gives us an opportunity as bettors as someone will have to pick up his target share. The obvious candidate is Courtland Sutton, the big-bodied receiver only recorded a single reception in Week 1, but with someone needed to cover the 7 targets on only 43% of offensive snaps recorded by Jeudy, I expect Sutton’s receptions to at least triple in Week 2, but the bookmakers have set his U/O reception line at 4.5, I think I want to see him get the target share before I bet it, especially considering Sutton’s last game with over 4 receptions was back in December 2019. So, instead, we’re going to rinse and repeat our best bet from the Denver games last week and back Noah Fant to hit the over on his receiving yard line. The number is 45.5, which is a total he went over in 9 games last season, as well as in the win last week. 

Spread: Broncos -6.0

Total Match Points line: U/O 46.0

Game Prediction: Broncos 28 – 21 Jaguars 

Best Bet: Noah Fant over 45.5 receiving yards @ 5/6 with SkyBet. [0.5]

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