BUFFALO BILLS @ MIAMI DOLPHINS

The Buffalo Bills suffered a somewhat surprising defeat in their season opener as the Pittsburgh Steelers came to Western New York, played tough defense, good special teams and got the win. Miami ground out a close one against the Patriots to take first place in the AFC East. Can the Bills get to .500 or will Miami go 2-0 with two division wins to put themselves in a commanding lead atop the division and force the previously thought of Super Bowl contender Bills into a 0-2 hole?

Miami won a close one in Foxboro to head back to Miami with a W in Week 1, but it felt more like a game that the Patriots lost more than the Dolphins had won. The Dolphin defense did what we expected of them, playing tough football, with solid secondary play, which I expect will again be needed against this Bills offense. Tua was serviceable at Quarterback but still struggles when forced off his first read, that aspect will be important for the Bills defense to be successful in this game. The Dolphins thought they’d have Will Fuller available for his first game as a Dolphin, but will now not suit up for reasons we’re not quite sure about. His absence sees Jaylen Waddle as the only real true deep threat in the Miami offense, containing him will be another big factor in a successful day for the Bills defense. 

Josh Allen and the supposedly high-powered Bills offense sputtered in Week 1 as they struggled to get anything going in the 2nd half as they lost a game their defense played well enough to win. Allen didn’t look much like his brilliant, 2020 best, instead seemingly reverting to some of the bad habits we saw in his 2019 performances. Blame can’t solely be placed at the feet of the QB though, his O-Line couldn’t hold up and it seemed like Allen never had time to make a play, and whilst the Steelers defense played brilliantly in getting pressure and disguising coverage questions have to be asked about the play-calling of Coach Daboll. One aspect of the offense that hasn’t changed from last season to this is the Allen to Diggs connection. Stefon Diggs hauled in 9 of 13 targets against the Steelers, and after having 11 games in 2020 with 7 or more receptions, including both games against the Miami Dolphins, his U/O 6.5 receptions line is a tempting number for the FBA favourite.

Spread: Bills -4.0

Total Match Points line: U/O 48.0

Game Prediction: Bills 33 – 23 Dolphins

Best Bet: Stefon Diggs over 6.5 receptions @ 8/13 with SkyBet. [1]

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