NEW YORK GIANTS @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS

The winless Giants face a tough task on the road against the 2-1 Saints this week, and they do so without two of their top three WRs, making an already difficult task all the more problematic. 

New Orleans bounced back in Week 3 with a win against an overmatched Patriots side. Jameis Winston was again limited in the passing game as Sean Payton continued to put the running game first, something that we shouldn’t expect to change much anytime soon. The Saints defense has been relatively impressive through three weeks and should have plenty of opportunities to impress again here against a beat-up Giants offense.

Daniel Jones and his Giants team had the perfect chance to finally get off the mark in Week 3 as they faced the equally winless Falcons, but despite dominating the majority of the game, the Giants let Atlanta hang around just long enough for it to bite them in the ass as the Falcons stole a ‘W’ and left Daniel Jones still waiting for his first win of the year. That task is going to be made harder this week with the injuries to Sterling Shepard and Darius Slayton. Shepard in particular has been Jones’ go-to target so far in 2021. With two important pass-catchers missing we have to look instead to how the Giants will replace their production and target % and whilst Kenny Golladay has been waiting for a breakout game, I’m not sure the answer to the problem is targeting him more. Instead, I believe looking in the Giants backfield could give us the answers, firstly with Saquon Barkley, who’s had a difficult start to the year but was effective last week against the Falcons as he scored his first TD on the season. Barkley also found himself more involved in the passing game as he hauled in 6 of his 7 targets making the over on his U/O 3.5 receptions line this week a worthwhile play especially when it’s paired with the over on Daniel Jones U/O 26.5 rushing yards total. Jones has rushed for 27 or more yards in each game this season, and with Barkley likely to be utilised more in the passing game, the burden to run the ball is going to fall on someone else. Jones had 95 yards and a TD on the ground in Week 2 against Washington and whilst I don’t expect a repeat of that here, it does go to show just how dangerous the dual-threat QB can be with his legs. 

Spread: Saints -7.0

Total Match Points line: U/O 41.5

Game Prediction: Saints 27-17 Giants 

Best Bet: Daniel Jones over 26.5 rushing yards & Saquon Barkley over 3.5 receptions @ 21/10 with Bet365 Bet Builder. [0.5] 

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