The somewhat surprising 3-1 Bengals are at home in Week 5 as they welcome the 3-1 Packers. Will it be MVP Aaron Rodgers or second-year passer Joe Burrow who leads their team to victory?
Cincinnati won on TNF in Week 4, meaning that they’ve had extra time to prepare for Rodgers and the Packers. That advantage was added to the news that Tee Higgins will return from injury in this game, making the Bengals passing offense all the more dangerous. The health of Joe Mixon is another story though, the RB is listed as questionable and it’ll be a big blow if he misses a game in which it’s expected the Bengals will have to score a lot of points to win.
Green Bay has bounced back nicely from their Week 1 drumming at the hands of the Saints. Aaron Rodger has looked more like the 2020 MVP since that Week 1 horror show, his connection with Davante Adams is still elite and the pass-catcher still sees the majority of passing targets go his way, whilst that’s great for Adams, it’s not so great for Robert Tonyan. The big TE has seen his targets drop and is yet to post a game with more than 3 receptions this season. Running Back Aaron Jones has seen pretty regular usage the last three weeks, with at least 15 carries in each game, and he will be important in keeping the Bengals defense honest. On defense the Packers have sneakily been one of the better units in football (minus the play of Kevin King) and De’Vondre Campbell, in particular, has impressed me, the OLB has at least 9 combined tackles & assists in his last three games and has played 100% of the snaps in those games.
Spread: Packers -3.0
Total Match Points line: U/O 50.5
Game Prediction: Packers 34-24 Bengals
Best Bet: Aaron Jones over 14.5 rushing attempts, Robert Tonyan under 3.5 receptions and De’Vondre Campbell over 7.5 Tackles & Assists @ 11/2 with Bet365 Bet Builder. [0.5]