Battle in Florida as the Super Bowl champion Bucs host the Miami Dolphins. Tom Brady will face off against one of his former backups in Jacoby Brissett in a game with plenty of New England connections on both sides.
Miami started the season with a win but, are winless since. The loss of Tua doesn’t help their cause, but the manner of defeat against the Bills and Colts points to a team that has regressed from the playoff hunters of 2020. They upgraded weapons in the passing game, but don’t appear to know how to use them properly yet, and whilst the defense is strong paper, it’s not playing like a cohesive unit. Not to mention the swiss-cheese like O-Line that can’t stop anyone from rushing the passer.
Tampa made hard work of a Patriots side they were supposed to beat on SNF and whilst that may be a cause for concern for some, I’m happy putting it down to the weather and Bill Belichick throwing the kitchen sink at the Bucs offense to stop Tom Brady putting up a ton of points. Tampa’s defense is struggling to stop teams passing on them, the acquisition of veteran corner Richard Sherman shows their desperation in trying to add depth to a position of need as he is far from the player we saw lead Seattle to a Super Bowl once upon a time. Sherman was picked on by Mac Jones and the Patriots in Week 4 and he was unable to make a play on the ball, giving up a completion on every target thrown his way. Miami is likely to follow suit in targeting Sherman in the passing game and this presents opportunities for us. Sherman made 7 solo tackles against the Patriots, a big number for a corner, and that is simply because he gave up so many completions that he always found himself needing to make the tackle! His U/O 3.5 Tackles & Assists line in this game is what I’m pairing with a Tampa Bay win for our best bet.
Spread: Tampa Bay -9.5
Total Match Points line: U/O 48.0
Game Prediction: Buccaneers 35 – 17 Dolphins
Best Bet: Richard Sherman over 3.5 Tackles & Assists and Tampa to win the game outright @ 23/20 with Bet365 Bet Builder. [0.5]