NFC South matchup in Louisiana as the 5-2 Saints host the 3-4 Falcons. Can New Orleans win without their starting QB, or will Matt Ryan and Kyle Pitts help Atlanta back to .500?
The Falcons had their two-game, winning run halted at the hands of the Carolina Panthers in a close, low-scoring game last week. The loss of Calvin Ridley for the foreseeable future is a big one, Ridley was expected to take on the majority of the burden when Julio Jones left for Tennessee this off-season, instead that has fallen on rookie Tight End Kyle Pitts. The defense has held up reasonably well against the pass, but it’s a different story on the ground where the Falcons rank 26th of 32 in the league for rushing yards against per game, a worrying statistic when you consider the Saints are top 10 for rushing yards per game.
Jameis Winston will be out for the remainder of the season after picking up a knee injury against his former employers. The Saints went on to beat the reigning Super Bowl champions, as Tom Brady threw a pick-6 to seal it and condemn the Buccaneers to only their second loss of the season. Alvin Kamara picked up a TD and 61 yards on 19 carries in the win, and he’ll need to keep up his good form if he’s to help Trevor Siemian manage the offense and get the win. Kamara has at least 19 rushing attempts in five of seven games this season, and with a backup QB under center and against a poor Falcons run defense, I expect Kamara to carry the rock 20+ times on the way to a Saints win.
Spread: Saints -6.0
Game Prediction: Saints 24-17 Falcons
Best Bet: Alvin Kamara over 17.5 Rushing Attempts @ 5/6 with SkyBet.