My Buffalo Bills travel to Miami after successfully dealing with fellow divisional rivals the New York Jets in week 1 and will look to go 2-0 on the season and in the division whilst the Dolphins started off with a regular feeling, losing in New England to the Patriots but this is a new Patriot offense now it’s lead by Cam Newton and as the Dolphins were the first to see it that put them at a huge disadvantage so I’m inclined to give them the benefit of the doubt this time although that Defensive Line did look very suspect against the run in giving up 3 rushing TD’s and over 200 yards on the ground, their pass defense though, boasting Byron Jones and XavienHoward didn’t give much up, keeping Cam Newton to just 155 air yards and no passing scores with the only Patriot Receiver to go over 50 yards being the ever present Julian Edelman. My real worry is the offense who struggled to really get anything going on the ground or through the air and I know they played a New England defense which Is talented and well coached but it’s also a defense that has lost a lot of key parts this offseason so although I didn’t expect fireworks, I did expect more than this sputter and it doesn’t get much easier for them as Buffalo bring their impressive defense to town.
Talking about that Bills defense who looked fantastic early on against the Jets but seemed to let up a little once the game was won and worryingly their top two starting Linebackers went out injured in week 1 and are ruled out for week 2, both Milano and Edmunds are so valuable to this Bills defense that their losses are somewhat insurmountable, the Tre White, Jordan Poyer and Micah Hyde trio in the secondary should still make life hard for former Bills QB, Ryan Fitzpatrick but If Miami can establish a run game then the loss of the stud Linebackers could make all the difference here. Surprisingly,the Bills blitzed a lot in week 1, typically a team who trust their front 4 to get it done and I think with the losses on defense we could see a less aggressive defensive game planthis week. On offense and this supposedly ‘run first’ Bills team looked pretty good in the passing game, Josh Allen throwing for 312 yards, 2 TD’s and over 70% pass completion rate whilst picking up 57 yards rushing and a TD, these are lofty numbers and if Allen can post a similar stat line I’d expect the Bills to move to 2-0 but this Miami secondary is a completely different proposition to what the Bills faced against the Jets so on the ground is their best chance of winning this matchup in my opinion so one or both of Devin Singletary and Zack Moss are going to have to help their QB in the run game after both posted below average numbers in that category on Sunday there is something to be proven for both.
Now I don’t know If it’s the Bills fan in me that is forever pessimistic or the defensive injuries but I have a sneaky feeling Miami will pull off an upset here but I don’t fancy it enough to make it a best bet, I do however like Josh Allen’s chances of picking up yards on the ground against a team who just let up 75 yards so a similar QB.
PREDICTION: DOLPHINS 24 – 21 BILLS
BEST BET: Josh Allen Over 35.5 Rushing Yards @ 5/6 with SkyBet. 2 point bet.