AFC South battle in Texas as the 1-3 Jags take on the so far underwhelming 0-4 Houston Texans.

The winless Texans finally made the decision they should’ve made months ago and parted ways with HC /GM Bill O’Brien so Romeo Crennel will serve as interim HC until the end of the season and can hopefully rejuvenate a Texans team that has looked pretty horrible across the board this year especially in both aspects of the run game, they rank bottom of the NFL in rushing yards per game and they also rank bottom in rush yards allowed per game, not only can they not run the ball, they cant stop the run either and talking about league worst they have also allowed the most Sacks through 4 weeks on the season allowing Deshaun Watson to be dropped 16 times luckily the Jags pass rush has struggled to find its target this season only posting 4 Sacks on the year so the O-Line have a chance to try and steady the ship this week.

The Jags have flattered to deceive since their week 1 win over the Colts and whilst able to move the ball on offense they’re not great at much else and their defense has seemingly been in decline since that week 1 win. As we’ve previously said, they struggle to get to the passer but they have also allowed the highest pass completion % to opposition QB’s (77%) so far this year and their Run D which hadn’t looked too bad this season was absolutely gashed by Joe Mixon and the Bengals last week and if they can’t rely on that then I have no idea how they’re going to stop anyone. They, like the Texans, have to find a way of protecting their QB, Gardner Minshew has been dropped 13 times through 4 weeks and this Texans D-Line is fresh off a 3 Sack game against the Vikings.

I’m taking the Texans to pick up their first win of the season in this one and draw themselves level in the division with the Jags at 1-4 but what worries me is their inability to stop the run or opposition running backs and after giving up 138 total yards to Clyde Edwards-Helaire, 149 to James Connor and 146 to Dalvin Cook last week the U/O 93.5 Rush & Receiving yard line for James Robinson seems low to me, Robinson has only failed to hit that number once and that was the opening game of the season and he was close posting 90 total yards whilst the only team the Texans have managed to keep a single rusher to under 100 total yards was vs the Ravens but in that game they allowed two Raven Running Backs over 70 total yards and a third over 60.


BEST BET: James Robinson over 93.5 Rush & Receiving Yards @ 5/6 with SkyBet. 2 point bet.

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