Easily the game of the early slate and maybe game of the week as the 6-1 Seahawks travel to Buffalo to take on the 6-2 Bills.
Buffalo managed to get the monkey off their back last week finally beating the New England Patriots at home for the first time since 2011 but it certainly wasn’t pretty. The Bills struggled to stop the Patriots running the football, giving up nearly 190 yards on the ground and if not for a hell of a defensive play by Justin Zimmer who managed to punch the ball out of Cam Newton’s grasps on a run play which the Bills recovered to see out the game I expect the Patriots would’ve ran the ball in for a game winning TD and although the Bills pass defense has improved the last two weeks and kept Cam Newton to under 175 yards passing and scoreless through the air it’s going to be a much bigger challenge for them to stop Seattle who have the best passing attack in the NFL at the moment with Russell Wilson throwing for 26 TD’s already this season in only 7 games. On Offense the Bills have been far from impressive in their last 4 games and it seems a long time ago that Josh Allen was throwing it all over the yard in the first 4 weeks of the season and although they ran the ball well for the first time this season against the Patriots they will need to rediscover their vertical pass game in this one if they’re going to keep up with the Seahawks Offense and take advantage of a major Seattle weakness…
That major weakness is Seattle’s pass defense which rank dead last in passing yards allowed and whilst the numbers are a little skewed by the amount of pass attempts they face due to being ahead but regardless this is not a good unit and if Buffalo can dial up some of the vertical pass plays they relied on for the first 4 weeks of the season this could be a real test for Seattle’s secondary. The Offense as mentioned is a seemingly unstoppable force with Russell Wilson looking likely the league MVP and DK Metcalf doing his best prime Terrell Owens impersonation you’re going to have to score points to keep up with them, Seattle are yet to score under 27 points in a game this season and have only posted one game with under 30 points on the season.
So two poor pass defenses against two top 10 pass offense’s so expect points in this one but the points total is 55, something that whilst Seattle have only gone under once this season the Bills have only played in 3 games with that many points this season and with their defense improving and offense seemingly regressing that big total scares me but something I like is Stefon Diggs’ reception U/O which is 5.5, he’s only gone under 6 receptions once this season against this high scoring Seattle team more than likely forcing the Bills to pass a lot I expect him to get closer to double that number, another sneaky bet would be Stefon Diggs to score a brace, although no Bills WR has scored multiple TD’s in a game this season yet the Seahawks have allowed a multiple TD game to a WR in 4 of their 7 games and have given up multiple TD’s to a player in 5 of their 7 games.
PREDICTION: SEAHAWKS 33 – 30 BILLS
BEST BET: Stefon Diggs over 5.5 receptions – 8/11 with SkyBet. 1 point bet.
LONGSHOT OF THE DAY: Stefon Diggs to score a brace – 15/2 with SkyBet. 0.5 point bet.