San Francisco play their first home game in Arizona tonight as the Bills travel back to the venue of their last defeat and the scene of the ‘Hail Murray.’ Can the Bills bury that demon with a win here or will the Niners get off to a winning start in their new temporary home?
The Niners come off of their bye week and beat the Rams for the second time this season and the fourth time in two years as they once again sweep their divisional rivals. Kyle Shanahan is a master game planner and when he has an extra week to prepare for a side it’s going to be a hard task to beat them, San Fran gashed the Rams with their extremely short passing game and utilised the abilities of their YAC monster Deebo Samuel at the WR position and he went off for 133 yards against a very good Rams defense but the most impressive part of their win last week was the defense who were buoyed by the return of veteran Richard Sherman and he showed why, leading the team in tackles as well as being the recipient of one of the two interceptions threw by Jared Goff (The other was returned for a TD by rookie Javon Kinlaw) as the Rams QB was kept scoreless by this impressive Robert Saleh defense which rankes in the top 10 against both the pass and the run.
The Bill also came off their bye week and picked up a win in week 12 beating the talented but poorly coached Chargers. Although the Bills got the win and the defense played well and came up with an interception at an important moment in the game it was a mistaken laden outing from the offense who in three consecutive drives coughed up the football, firstly Devin Singletary who had arguably his best outing of the season fumbled the ball at the end of a long run and the drive after QB Josh Allen fumbled the snap which was recovered by the Chargers and on his next possession threw an interception. It was a crazy part of the game but this Bills offense has blown hot and cold all season, in some games Josh Allen will throw for three to four hundred yards, 3 TD’s and 0 INT’s and look the offense looks unstoppable whilst in others he makes some bad decisions and struggles but this will be the third game in his last four where he sees a very similar ‘Seattle Scheme’ defense as that’s a defense run by the Chargers and unsurprisingly also the Seattle Seahawks and the Bills were victorious in both of those games.
Interestingly the bottom of their division, 5-6 ‘home’ team who’re playing in a stadium they haven’t played in yet this season are favourites over a division leading, 8-3 side but regardless of record this is a pretty even matchup in my opinion with this Niners side possessing a lot of talent (they went to the Super Bowl last season) and starting to get healthier on both sides of the ball after suffering a lot of injuries earlier in the season but the Bills are no mugs and have beaten many a good team already this season and in a close game at a neutral venue I’m going to take the side who possess the game winners and in Josh Allen and Stefon Diggs that’s exactly what the Bills have. (I may also just be bias as a massive Bills fan)
As for my best bet I’ve headed to the Niners and the defensive side of the ball, San Francisco have one of the best young Linebackers in all of Fooball in Fred Warner and because of that teams will try and avoid him which means his running mate Dre Greenlaw has become a bit of a tackling machine posting 7 or more Tackles & Assists in 6 of his last 7 games so with the line set at U/O 6.5 and against a good Bills offense I like his chances of hitting the over.
PREDICTION: BILLS 21 – 20 NINERS
BEST BET: Dre Greenlaw OVER 6.5 Tackles & Assists – 5/6 with SkyBet. 0.5 point bet.