NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS @ HOUSTON TEXANS

Two 1-3 teams meet in Houston as the Texans and Davis Mills welcome the Patriots and Mac Jones. Which rookie QB will lead his team to victory in Week 5? 

The Patriots are fresh off a loss in Tom Brady’s homecoming as missed FG gave the Bucs a narrow 19-17 win on the road. Mac Jones played really well in a game that was supposed to be all about Brady and Jones even tied a TB12 record for most passes completed in a row with 19. Jones isn’t the type of QB who’s going to wow you with deep strikes or crazy athleticism but he’s a smart guy who more often than not makes the right decision with the football, pair that with a strong defense as the Patriots have and it can be a recipe for sustained if unspectacular success in the NFL. New England finally got their expensive TE duo going last week as both Hunter Henry & Jonnu Smith found the endzone and against a Texans side whose struggles defending the TE position we’ve highlighted the last two weeks, could make it back to back TD scoring weeks. 

Houston was thoroughly beaten in Week 4 by the Buffalo Bills, losing 40-0 as the offense could do nothing against a stifling Bills defense. Davis Mills got his ‘Welcome to the NFL’ game as he completed 11 passes for 87 yards and 4 interceptions. The rookie was completely overmatched and whilst things shouldn’t be as bad against the Patriots it’s still a high-level defense that has kept three of the four QBs they’ve faced so far this season to 210 yards or under, and that doesn’t bode well for Davis Mills who through three games is still yet to pass for over 170 yards. I believe it’ll be another low-output struggle for Mills and I like the under on his U/O 188.5 passing yards line.

I think this will be one of the easier wins of the year for the Patriots. They’re better everywhere quite frankly and you just won’t convince me that David Culley is going to outcoach and beat Bill Belichick. 

Spread: Patriots -7.5

Total Match Points line: U/O 39.5

Game Prediction: Patriots 24-3 Texans

Best Bet: Davis Mills under 188.5 passing yards & Patriots win outright @ 13/10 with Bet365 Bet Builder. [0.5]

TE Jeopardy;

Hunter Henry anytime TD @ 3/1 with Betfair [0.5]

Jonnu Smith anytime TD @ 16/5 with Betfair [0.5]

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